Why haven’t the Oath Keepers or the Three Percenters prevented Biden’s coup? Or done anything besides wander the Capitol building?
At least one out of every three or four members of any militia or group are willing to inform to the government by the time an operation is ready to go. Thus, only lone wolf or pairs of people will successfully carry out an operation. It’s ridiculous to think that the NSA wouldn’t notice 40,000 men preparing to assemble in a location to wage a war. We shouldn’t be expecting to see a mobilization unless there is an economic collapse or a truly deadly pandemic.
It’s more realistic to expect the US to eventually settle into a pattern of violence like The Troubles experienced by Northern Ireland.
The right-wing does not want to fight police or Army, who are made up of our brothers. When the federal government pushes more right-wingers to the breaking point, it’s more realistic to expect lone-wolf assassinations of unguarded officials at their homes – officials such as the federal judges who enabled Biden’s coup when they refused to do their Constitutional duty to hear important cases.
Update: On the other hand, if a fight did break out that inspired militia men, news would spread quickly, and some militia men might run to the fight, assuming they could get there fast enough. It just seems that this scenario would require a big group to begin with, and I don’t see that happening.
Another possibility is a large rally turning into an army in an unplanned way. If the Jan 6 rally had happened in an open carry location, many would have been armed. The Jan 6 rally was in DC, where no weapons are allowed on civilians.