Alberta
There’s a 65% chance of the Alberta independence referendum being scheduled for October 19, 2026, despite a Canada federal judge’s temporary stay on certifying the petition, pending her decision “in next few weeks,” according to Polymarket bettors.
Even if the judge rules against the petition, Alberta’s Premier’s cabinet can put it on the ballot without a petition. But a judge might rule against that, and either one might be pulled from the ballot AFTER scheduling. If Polymarket is right, then I guess there’s a 50% chance of a vote in October or maybe next year after more negotiations between Alberta and their federal government.
To me, the biggest uncertainty is whether Alberta’s Premier Danielle Smith wants to use the potential vote as leverage or to actually get it on the ballot. But there is evidence that she actually wants to secede: she promised that her other 9 questions (leverage questions) won’t even be counted if it’s on the ballot and it gets a YES majority.
There is great value in supporting the Yes campaign. The bigger that movement gets, the more they help the red-state secession movements. Unfortunately, polling of Albertans only shows 1/3 support for the idea, but as more Albertans get educated on the issue (by people like you & me online, or through our donations), they may swing in favor of such a big change. That happened during the campaigns for independence of Quebec, Scotland, and UK (BREXIT). But if they do vote in favor, Trump will definitely prevent Canada from stopping their unilateral secession. Learn more about all this in an article on our website from 3 weeks ago.
If Alberta & Saskatchewan secede, would you move there? Saskatchewan is a red state, and Alberta would be if they don’t give Alberta citizenship to the families that came from overseas in the last decade. But they have dark & cold winters.
Governor races
Most Southern governors are term-limited this year, so there are a lot of open-seats this year. We need courageous men to win the GOP primaries so that they’ll be willing to respond to any future events by facilitating the secession of their state. I mean events such as a failed or disputed 2028 presidential election, an economic collapse, federal debt crisis, or some major perceived loss of legitimacy by fedgov due to leaks, failures in war, etc. We need governors who won’t veto a bill that would call a referendum (plebiscite) on independence, and will get the loyalty of his law enforcement officers and use it to resist federal interference in implementing the results of the plebiscite.
Upcoming 2026 governor primary elections (all open seats) in states that might catalyze a unilateral National Divorce or support the leading states:
Alabama: No serious rivals to Tommy Tuberville (compare $3.5M in campaign spending to $10k as of Jan 1)
- Primary election date: May 19, 2026
Georgia: funded candidates: AG Chris Carr, Lt. Gov Burt Jones, Sec of State Brad Raffensperger
- Primary election date: May 19, 2026
South Carolina: feminist Nancy Mace, US Rep Ralph Norman, Lt. Gov Pamela Evette, AG Alan Wilson
- Primary election date: June 9, 2026
Oklahoma: multiple competitive candidates
- Primary election date: June 16, 2026
Tennessee: Marsha Blackburn, US Rep. John Rose, State Rep. Monty Fritts
- Primary election date: August 6, 2026
Florida: US Rep Byron Donalds, House Speaker Paul Renner, James Fishback, Lt. Gov Jay Collins
- Primary election date: August 18, 2026
Later governor races:
New Hampshire: GOP Gov. Kelly Ayotte is not term-limited. No candidates have announced yet.
- Primary election date: Sep 8, 2026
Mississippi: open seat
- Primary election date: summer or early fall of 2027
Louisiana: GOP Gov Jeff Landry is not term-limited
- Primary election date: October 9, 2027 nonpartisan blanket primary. Runoff November 2027
North Carolina: Dem governor Josh Stein is not term-limited
- Primary election date: March 7, 2028
State Legislatures
There are always better ways to use your time and money than trying to fix Washington DC with federal candidates. If the governor races don’t interest you, or the race in your state isn’t competitive, focus on races for your state legislature, which might be the difference between your state joining the red states or staying behind with the blue states. It’s not too hard to become a state rep yourself when there’s an open seat.
Texas:
Primary elections are over, and every incumbent in the state legislature who signed the Texas First Pledge (for an independence referendum) won their primary. You can support all 10 for the general election coming up in November. Also, signers Timothy McDonough won the GOP nomination in a state House district that usually votes 64% Dem, and Ben Mostyn won the GOP nomination in a state House district that usually votes 59% Dem. The voting will continue in the state convention of the Republican Party of Texas June 11. TEXIT-supporting delegates are needed there.
Nationwide:
Ask your state legislators to pass a bill or resolution that says the state will form a new Union if the National Popular Vote Compact goes into effect, or if Congress packs the Supreme Court, or awards statehood to DC or Puerto Rico, or passes Pelosi’s For the People Act & its companion, the John Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act. Even better would be a bill that creates a plebiscite (special referendum) scheduled for 5 months after any of these things happens, that authorizes the state government to proceed with seceding along with other like-minded states.
Sell it as a way to dissuade Congress from doing it. It’s very likely that the next time Dems & RINOs have more control of Congress, they’ll do these things. 67 Congressmen sponsored a bill to pack the Supreme Court in 2023 when Dems had 51% of the Senate. Statehood for DC & Puerto Rico passed the US House but died in the Senate in 2022 & 2021. Now that Trump’s re-election has horrified Dems, they’re much more likely to pass these. Our future in the Union is hopeless if we don’t secede.
Annual state legislative sessions are almost all in session this month.
Louisiana:
Louisiana state reps will very soon vote on HB 797, the Bayou Gold Program bill. It certifies private companies that allow Louisianans to hold and make electronic payments in gold or silver instead of the fed’s dollars. State reps will also vote on HB 610. It authorizes the state treasurer to invest up to 10% of the state government’s trust fund in physical gold. These improve Louisiana’s sovereignty, so ask your state rep in Baton Rouge to vote for it. If these pass, your state senator will get a chance to vote on them too. Also, be prepared to run as a candidate for delegate to the state constitutional convention that’s being legislated. Vote for CA-2 on May 16. St. George seceded from Baton Rouge, and CA-2 allows St. George’s schools to secede from Baton Rouge schools.